NIST has developed a new method called sequential Bayesian experiment design to improve the efficiency of parameter estimation in scientific measurements. This approach uses a statistical technique that updates and refines estimates in real-time as data is collected, allowing experiments to adaptively focus on the most informative measurements. This is especially useful when measurements are costly or time-consuming, as it reduces the number needed to achieve accurate results. The method is implemented in a Python package called optbayesexpt, which helps scientists design more efficient experiments by guiding them to the most useful measurement settings.
The article highlights two examples of how this method works. In one, it shows how the technique can more efficiently determine the center of a peak in data compared to traditional methods. In another example, it demonstrates how the method can be used to tune quantum control parameters, such as the frequency and duration of microwave pulses used to manipulate qubit states. These examples show that the approach can significantly reduce the number of measurements needed to achieve the same level of accuracy, making it a valuable tool for quantum technology and other fields that rely on precise measurements.
Source: https://www.nist.gov/programs-projects/sequential-bayesian-experiment-design
Keywords: parameter estimation, Bayesian inference, sequential experiment design